Dow’s Cash Flow Increases The Safety Of Its Dividend Yield

On a price return basis, the Safest Dividend Yields Model Portfolio (+4.4%) outperformed the S&P 500 (+3.8%) by 0.6% from June 23, 2022 through July 19, 2022. On a total return basis, the Model Portfolio (+4.8%) outperformed the S&P 500 (+3.8%) by 1.0% over the same time. The best performing large cap stock was up 12% and the best performing small cap stock was up 14%. Overall, nine out of the 20 Safest Dividend Yield stocks outperformed their respective benchmarks (S&P 500 and Russell 2000) from June 23, 2022 through July 19, 2022.

This Model Portfolio only includes stocks that earn an attractive or very attractive rating, have positive free cash flow and economic earnings, and offer a dividend yield greater than 3%. Companies with strong free cash flow provide higher quality and safer dividend yields because I know they have the cash to support the dividend. I think this portfolio provides a uniquely well-screened group of stocks that can help clients outperform.

Since its spin-off from Dupont De Nemours Inc. (DD) in 2019, Dow has grown revenue by 13% compounded annually and net operating profit after-tax (NOPAT) by 65% compounded annually. Dow’s NOPAT margin rose from 6% in 2019 to 13% over the trailing twelve months (TTM), while invested capital turns improved from 0.7 to 1.1 over the same time. Rising NOPAT margins and invested capital turns drive the company’s return on invested capital (ROIC) from 4% in 2019 to 14% TTM.

Figure 1: Dow’s Revenue and NOPAT Since 2019

Dow has increased its regular dividend from $2.10/share in 2019 to $2.80/share in 2021. The current quarterly dividend, when annualized, provides a 5.5% dividend yield.

Dow’s free cash flow (FCF) comfortably exceeds its regular dividend payments. From 2019 to 2021, Dow generated $16.0 billion (43% of current market cap) in FCF while paying $5.7 billion in dividends. Over the TTM, Dow has generated $6 billion in FCF and paid $2 billion in dividends. See Figure 2.

Figure 2: Dow’s FCF vs. Regular Dividends Since 2019

Companies with strong FCF provide higher quality dividend yields because the firm has the cash to support its dividend. Dividends from companies with low or negative FCF cannot be trusted as much because the company may not be able to sustain paying dividends.

DOW Is Undervalued

At its current price of $52/share, DOW has a price-to-economic book value (PEBV) ratio of 0.3. This ratio means the market expects Dow’s NOPAT to permanently decline by 70%. This expectation seems overly pessimistic given that Dow grew NOPAT by 65% compounded annually since 2019.

Even if Dow’s NOPAT margin falls to 9% (vs. 13% over the TTM) and the company’s NOPAT falls 5% compounded annually over the next decade, the stock would be worth $75+/share today – a 44% upside. See the math behind this reverse DCF scenario. Should the company’s NOPAT not fall at such a steep rate, or even grow from current levels, the stock has even more upside.

Critical Details Found in Financial Filings by My Firm’s Robo-Analyst Technology

Below are specifics on the adjustments I make based on Robo-Analyst findings in Dow’s 10-K and 10-Qs:

Income Statement: I made $3.1 billion in adjustments with a net effect of removing $930 million in non-operating expenses (2% of revenue).

Balance Sheet: I made $16.6 billion in adjustments to calculate invested capital with a net increase of $11.3 billion. The most notable adjustment was $9.0 billion (18% of reported net assets) in other comprehensive income.

Valuation: I made $24.1 billion in adjustments with a net effect of decreasing shareholder value by $19.8 billion. Apart from total debt, one of the most notable adjustments to shareholder value was $6.1 billion in underfunded pensions. This adjustment represents 16% of Dow’s market value.

Disclosure: David Trainer, Kyle Guske II, Matt Shuler, and Brian Pellegrini receive no compensation to write about any specific stock, style, or theme.

New Constructs leverages reliable fundamental data to provide unconflicted insights into the fundamentals and valuation of private and public businesses.

Source: Dow’s Cash Flow Increases The Safety Of Its Dividend Yield

Critics by Macrotrends

Dow annual/quarterly free cash flow history and growth rate from 2017 to 2022. Free cash flow can be defined as a measure of financial performance calculated as operating cash flow minus capital expenditures.

  • Dow free cash flow for the quarter ending June 30, 2022 was 2,607.00, a year-over-year.
  • Dow free cash flow for the twelve months ending June 30, 2022 was , a year-over-year.
  • Dow annual free cash flow for 2021 was $4.79B, a 18.72% decline from 2020.
  • Dow annual free cash flow for 2020 was $5.893B, a 48.51% increase from 2019.
  • Dow annual free cash flow for 2019 was $3.968B, a 91.69% increase from 2018.

Dow annual/quarterly revenue history and growth rate from 2017 to 2022. Revenue can be defined as the amount of money a company receives from its customers in exchange for the sales of goods or services. Revenue is the top line item on an income statement from which all costs and expenses are subtracted to arrive at net income.

  • Dow revenue for the quarter ending June 30, 2022 was $15.664B, a 12.81% increase year-over-year.
  • Dow revenue for the twelve months ending June 30, 2022 was $60.129B, a 30.19% increase year-over-year.
  • Dow annual revenue for 2021 was $54.968B, a 42.62% increase from 2020.
  • Dow annual revenue for 2020 was $38.542B, a 10.27% decline from 2019.
  • Dow annual revenue for 2019 was $42.951B, a 13.41% decline from 2018.

Current and historical gross margin, operating margin and net profit margin for Dow (DOW) over the last 10 years. Profit margin can be defined as the percentage of revenue that a company retains as income after the deduction of expenses. Dow net profit margin as of June 30, 2022 is 11.06%.

Current and historical p/e ratio for Dow (DOW) from 2017 to 2022. The price to earnings ratio is calculated by taking the latest closing price and dividing it by the most recent earnings per share (EPS) number. The PE ratio is a simple way to assess whether a stock is over or under valued and is the most widely used valuation measure. Dow PE ratio as of August 03, 2022 is 5.40.

Current and historical current ratio for Dow (DOW) from 2017 to 2022. Current ratio can be defined as a liquidity ratio that measures a company’s ability to pay short-term obligations. Dow current ratio for the three months ending June 30, 2022 was 1.64.

Historical dividend payout and yield for Dow (DOW) since 2021. The current TTM dividend payout for Dow (DOW) as of August 03, 2022 is $2.80. The current dividend yield for Dow as of August 03, 2022 is 5.43%.

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Facebook, Google And Trustpilot ‘Failing To Deal With Fake Reviews’

Unscrupulous brokers are continuing to infiltrate Facebook, Google and Trustpilot with fake reviews, according to a report from consumer group Which?. After setting up a fake business online – PCR testing firm ‘Gold Lion Labs’ – Which? approached a fake review broker, Xealme, which offered reviews on all three sites. The firm claimed to have created nearly 16,000 reviews for a total of 570 customers, and said it offers its services in nearly every country in the world.

And, on Facebook, Gold Lion Labs amassed 19 five-star reviews from fake profiles in just five days. After Which? approached Facebook, it initially removed just 18 of the profiles, taking nearly a month to get rid of the rest. On Trustpilot, meanwhile, reviews were added more slowly, but still amounted to 19 after three weeks, giving it a ‘TrustScore’ of 4.6. And after a week, there were 19 reviews on Google too.

“Facebook, Google and Trustpilot are failing to do enough to shut out a fake reviews industry that has been thriving and profiting from misleading reviews for years now,” says Rocio Concha, Which? director of policy and advocacy. “Facebook in particular has repeatedly been slow to act in tackling fake reviews, showing a complete disregard for consumers who want to read genuine reviews.”

Trustpilot says it identified and removed more than 2.7 million fake and misleading reviews out of a total 46.7 million posted last year. “In the last 18 months, we have introduced new technology that allows us to understand complex patterns of potential misuse and to track this back to identify review sellers and buyers,” says a spokesperson.

“This has enabled us to launch legal action against companies that are buying fake reviews, and work with other social media platforms to remove review sellers. Additionally, we now offer an option for consumers to verify their identity on Trustpilot.” The company says it’s issued a Cease and Desist letter against Xealme, which has now removed all pages offering fake reviews on the site.

Meanwhile, Facebook says it’s investigating the accounts highlighted by Which?. “We have dedicated extensive time and resources to tackling this issue and will continue to do so,” says a spokesperson. “Fraudulent and deceptive activity is not allowed on our platforms, including offering or trading fake reviews. Our safety and security teams are continuously working to help prevent these practices.”

Earlier this year, the UK government announced plans for a new Digital Markets, Competition and Consumer Bill that would ban the selling or advertising of fake reviews and require platforms to check whether reviews are genuine. The Competition and Markets Authority would be given the power to directly fine companies up to 10 per cent of their global annual turnover, and require consumers to be compensated without having to go through lengthy court proceedings.

Which? is calling for the legislation to be pushed through without delay. We’ve approached Google for comment, and will update if we receive a reply.

I’ve been writing about technology for most of my adult life, focusing mainly on legal and regulatory issues. I write for a wide range of publications

Source: Facebook, Google And Trustpilot ‘Failing To Deal With Fake Reviews’

Critics by Which? Team

Fake reviews aren’t always easy to spot, but pose a significant and persistent problem for websites that host customer reviews, and customers who rely on them to make a purchase. Our research and investigations have exposed a range of ways fakers manipulate customer scores to cheat their way to the top. But while their techniques are often sophisticated, there are things you can do to stay one step ahead. Read on for our top tips on spotting a fake review.

Actually read the reviews Don’t just go by the overall score to make an impulse purchase. Read through the reviews, and keep an eye out for anything suspicious. Does the review have an extremely high percentage of five-star reviews? Consider how likely it is that so many people found the product to be ‘perfect’. Is the reviewer going over the top about the product in the language? For some this may be natural, but if it happens a lot, be wary. Do lots of reviews include pictures or videos? Our investigations have found this is a common request from sellers who incentivise positive reviews. Does the review include specifics about the experience with the product?

 

Real reviewers will often want to go into detail about their experience. Check the dates. If a lot of the reviews were posted at the same time, the seller might have used one of a range of methods to drum up positive feedback through incentivisation. Ignore the five-star ratings In the vast majority of cases, fakers request or manipulate reviews to ensure they get a full, five-star rating. One way to get a more balanced view of a product is to ignore these altogether – check the four, three and two star reviews and it’s likely you’ll be getting more honest opinions.

Fake reviewers have ways of manipulating reviews so they appear more helpful, and move to the top of the default list where they’re most likely to be seen. You can change the sort order from ‘Top reviews’ to ‘Most recent’ to get a more reliable idea of the most recent reviewer experiences. While many smaller brands that you don’t recognise could be honest start-ups trying to find an audience in a crowded market, others attempt to take shortcuts to jump to the top of the listings. Time and again we’ve found fake reviews on brands we didn’t recognise, and on most occasions it’s difficult or impossible to get in touch with the brand to find out more.

If you don’t recognise a brand, check online to see if it has a legitimate looking website, with clear contact details so you can get in touch if anything goes wrong. You could even try calling or emailing the seller with a question, to see how quickly they respond. Spotting fake or incentivised reviews isn’t easy. But there are things you can look out for, including whether someone mentions being offered a gift card or refund in the review, or was asked to change a negative review. Often people will reference this in negative reviews to try and warn other buyers, but you can also use the search box above reviews on Amazon to look for key terms, like ‘bribe’ or ‘warning’.

Negative reviews can be eye-openers. Some might complain about the product failing over time, have a negative opinion about the style or feel, or even cite issues with delivery or customer service – problems that might not necessarily apply to everyone. On the other hand, consistent criticism of quality, a specific aspect of functionality, or surprise that so many reviews are so positive could be seen as more of a warning sign. Look out for any evidence that reviews are incentivised, perhaps with the offer of a gift card or a full or partial refund. And look out for patterns.

If a seller gets a bad review then a flurry of positive reviews, it’s possible they’re trying to bury the bad one and bring back up their average score. It can also be useful to check feedback on the seller for insights on how other customers found the service. If someone hasn’t read the book, used the product, or visited the location, why are they reviewing it? Most people would wait to try something before recommending it or dissuading other people from buying it too. Often, the reviewer will promise to change or update their review after they’ve tried it, but almost never will.

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Moderna COVID Vaccine May Pose Higher Heart Inflammation Risk

Source: Moderna COVID vaccine may pose higher heart inflammation risk – U.S. CDC

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More Than Half Of Ukraine’s Children Displaced By War

One month into a brutal war, Ukraine’s children are traumatized and in desperate need of assistance. UNICEF is on the ground in Ukraine and neighboring countries, working to provide lifesaving humanitarian aid to children and families.

Since the start of the war in Ukraine one month ago, 4.3 million children have been forced out of their homes. That’s over half the country’s estimated 7.5 million total child population.

More than 3.8 million people — including 1.8 million children — have crossed the border into Poland, Romania, Moldova and other neighboring countries to escape the ongoing violence since Feb. 24, according to UNHCR.

The rest of Ukraine’s children remain inside the country, trapped in a national nightmare.

“The war has caused one of the fastest large-scale displacements of children since World War II.”

UNICEF Executive Director Catherine Russell

“The war has caused one of the fastest large-scale displacements of children since World War II,” said UNICEF Executive Director Catherine Russell. “This is a grim milestone that could have lasting consequences for generations to come. Children’s safety, well-being and access to essential services are all under threat from nonstop horrific violence.”

93 children have been killed and 120 injured since the war began

Heavily populated civilian areas are increasingly being targeted, with children’s homes, hospitals, schools and orphanages coming under assault. The World Health Organization has confirmed 52 attacks impacting health care facilities across the country in the past four weeks, while Ukraine’s Ministry of Education and Science has reported damage to more than 500 education facilities.

According to the United Nations human rights office, OHCHR, 93 children have been killed and 120 injured since the war began. These figures represent only those reports that the United Nations has been able to confirm: the actual toll is likely far higher.

UNICEF is rushing medical supplies to children’s hospitals and maternity wards

UNICEF has 140 staff members on the ground in Ukraine, working around the clock from five regional offices on both sides of the contact line to provide urgent assistance to children and families in need.

In close collaboration with the Government of Ukraine, UN agencies and key humanitarian partners, UNICEF is scaling up emergency operations, including the delivery of medical supplies and equipment to dozens of hospitals across the country, where pediatricians and obstetricians are caring for injured children and delivering babies in basement hallways.

To aid mothers and children who have fled the country in search of safety, UNICEF has set up a network of Blue Dot refugee support centers where they can access emergency services.

Urgent assistance for families forced to leave everything behind

Strategically located along key transit routes, the Blue Dot support hubs provide health screenings, information on available accommodations and transportation, a safe place for children to play, registration for psychosocial support, counseling and protection services, and other vital forms of assistance.

Child-Friendly Spaces where kids can just be kids for a while

Staffed by social workers and psychologists and stocked with toys and games, the Blue Dot centers provide a sense of normalcy for children whose lives have been turned upside-down. “Mostly we do game therapy, but it will depend on the child, how ready he or she will be to play with us,” says psychologist Tatiana Andriesh, who works with children at a Blue Dot site in Palanca, Moldova.

“Somehow, the emotional state of the parents is passed on to the children. If a parent is hugging them very tightly, the child gets afraid. There are situations where the mothers are so emotionally affected that we have to work with the parents somehow, and after than we can give attention to the children.”

The threat of child trafficking is real and growing

More than 500 unaccompanied children were identified crossing from Ukraine into Romania between Feb. 24 and March 17. “The war in Ukraine is leading to mass displacement and refugee flows — conditions that could lead to a significant spike in human trafficking and an acute child protection crisis,” Afshan Khan, UNICEF Regional Director for Europe and Central Asia, warned on March 19. “Displaced children are extremely vulnerable to being separated from their families, exploited and trafficked.”

To protect the vulnerable, staff at Blue Dot centers are trained to identify unaccompanied and separated children and implement family tracing services so children can be reunited with their caregivers.

“Displaced children are extremely vulnerable to being separated from their families, exploited and trafficked.”

Afshan Khan, UNICEF Regional Director for Europe and Central Asia

UNICEF is urging the governments of neighboring countries and other countries of destination to strengthen child protection screenings at border crossings, especially those with Ukraine, to better identify at-risk children.

“In just a few weeks, the war has wrought such devastation for Ukraine’s children,” said Russell. “Children urgently need peace and protection. They need their rights. UNICEF continues to appeal for an immediate ceasefire and for the protection of children from harm.”

Sarah Ferguson is the Editorial Director for Content and Social Media at UNICEF USA. Her writing has appeared in The New York Times Book Review, The Guardian,

Source: More Than Half Of Ukraine’s Children Displaced By War

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Critics:

Highlighting that nine in 10 of those fleeing unrelenting violence in Ukraine are women and children, Mr. Elder warned that youngsters are prey to traffickers, as they arrive in unfamiliar new surroundings. “To give a sense of the border that I used to visit – the main border, Medyka,  Poland to Ukraine – it is scores of people standing around buses and minivans calling out names of capital cities – or at least it was a week ago – people getting onto those,” he said.

“The vast, vast majority of course are people with wonderful intentions and great generosity, but there is no doubt given what we understand of trafficking in Europe, that that remains a very, very grave issue.” The development follows a warning from the UN Secretary-General, who on Monday said that Russia’s military offensive against civilians was “reaching terrifying proportions”.

Ane Lemche, a psychologist and child counselor with Save the Children, said children around the world might not fully understand what is happening in Ukraine and may have questions about the images, stories and conversations they are exposed to.   

Previous Save the Children research in conflicts such as Iraq and Syria has revealed heartbreaking accounts of children terrified by the shelling and airstrikes, anxious about the future, and distraught at not being able to go to school. The majority of children showed signs of severe emotional distress.

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How To Get ADA Website Compliance Technology and Stay Safe From Lawsuits

ADA Leadz is An Extraordinary App That Enables You To Set-up Your Own Agency That Focuses On Helping Businesses Stay Safe From Lawsuits And Acquire More Customers.

If you’re a digital publisher or a small business owner that’s looking to reach a wide audience with your website, you need to be aware of the ADA and the risks of not complying with the law. You could face a lawsuit, endure legal fees, a possible settlement, a potential public relations problem, and the cost of rebuilding your website so that it complies with the ADA.

Thousands of businesses have already been sued for millions of dollars for NOT being ADA Compliant. Save your business… and better yet, save others’ businesses and get paid top dollar for a minute’s work WITHOUT needing any legal skills or prior experience.  Introducing ADA Leads.

This is An Opportunity To Tap Into a Multi-Billion Dollar Market Cash in on the first-movers advantage. $650 billion dollars. That’s what the ADA Website Compliance Website market is valued at today. Imagine being able to help businesses save millions of dollars in lawsuits… and being the ONLY one to offer this service.

Running a complete ADA Website Compliance Website Audit in just minutes WITHOUT any technical skills or experience. And not just this… once you have saved a business from incurring an inevitable expense, the business owners will be eager to order any other service that you might offer or any other product that you might want to sell them because they already trust you now big time.

ADA LEADZ puts you in the driver’s seat as you’d be able to negotiate from the position of authority armed with professional audit reports.

ADA LEADZ Works In Three Simple Steps:

  • Step #1: Run A Full ADA Website Compliance Audit: Use ADA LEADZ to quickly find prospects (websites and pages that are NOT ADA Compliant) in seconds based on your keyword or offer this service straight to a lead/client that you have
  • Step #2: Generate Professional Print-On-Demand Full Audit Reports: ADA LEADZ will automatically generate reports that detail out all the ways they need to ensure they are ADA Compliant or improve their listing to rank higher.
  • Step #3: Get Paid. You can print these reports, send them to the shortlisted leads (or existing leads/clients, and gain instant authority over them and get paid. If you are cold-mailing… you can use any of their DFY proven-to-convert templates to close clients easily. These templates are available for different types of agencies if you only want to focus on selling one type of service i.e.: video marketing, local marketing, digital marketing, web design and many others.

ADA Leadz Features

  • Get Clients from ALL Over The Web: Once you enter your desired keyword, you can get access to those relevant clients irrespective of where their business is in the world. Apply filters to get the best results!
  • Research Details About Each Lead Before Saving Them: ADA leadz allows you to view contact information, address, page URL, compliant status, and more. Isn’t that cool?
  • Sort By Categories and Many Other Filters: There are various filter options you can use to sort and isolate primary leads that you would like to target. Arrange Data in order and contact leads accordingly.
  • Run A Complete ADA Compliance Website Audit: ADA LEADZ then scans the entire website in seconds on complete auto-pilot.
  • Create Advanced and Professional ADA Website Compliance Reports: ADA Leadz can automatically produce a detailed report that shows how compliant the website in question is and provide solutions to make them fully compliant and optimized for better results.
  • Download Print-On-Demand PDF Reports For Leads: These reports are undeniably impressive and can even be printed on-demand if you want to meet with the client in person or send the report in the mail. Want Instant authority? These reports are designed exactly for that!
  • Email Technology Swipes: Select a group of priority leads to contact and use their DFY proven-to-convert email templates to reach out to them. Use ADA Leadz’s email marketing technology to customize your message and create a great impression.
  • Organize Campaigns and Manage Leads: Create specific campaigns like ‘Chiropractors in New York’ and add any specific leads you want to each campaign. Keep everything perfectly organized and each lead updated throughout the onboarding process.

Don’t have experience? Don’t worry… The entire set up process has been detailed out for you. The cloud-based software does all the hard work and hands you the results on a silver platter. You can explore leads, understand their problems, reach out with solutions, and eventually convert clients.

And not just this… once you have saved a business from incurring an inevitable expense, the business owners will be eager to order any other service that you might offer or any other product that you might want to sell them because they already trust you now big time. Ada Leadz 2.0 puts you in the driver’s seat as you’d be able to negotiate from the position of authority armed with professional audit reports.

Source: https://getadaleadz.com/

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