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What Can a Trader Do With Best Buy Stock?

Chutes Without Ladders

As toddlers, my sister and I used to play the famous board-game where depending on the spot where one lands, the individual either slides down a long chute, or climbs a ladder. I had intended to carry my long position in Best Buy (BBYGet Report) into the holiday season as far back as September. This was one of the first names that I got rid of in early October at an average price of $70 and change.

The broad market selloff that stated there has now surpassed the threshold of what many consider to be the definition of a Correction (-10% from the highs) was just getting in gear at that time. The retailers were making a lot of noise regarding trade with China, and this name was one of the first deck chairs thrown overboard for me as my ship started taking on water. I could have made a better sale a day of two prior, but then again, these shares never looked back once I made that sale either.

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The stock had been so badly beaten that recently I considered buying back what I had sold. As I usually do with the retailers, I visited my local Best Buy location before taking on some shares. I walked around the store, stopped over by the laptops pretending to need help. Nothing. Look around. Employees walk by. Maybe it’s just the department, so I walk over to household appliances. Same thing.

The employees did not seem interested in making a sale that day. I decided to walk out. I put my hands in my jacket pockets in a way that should have drawn interest from the security employee at the door. Again, nothing. Now it may just be my store, and it may have just been a bad day, but I decided not to buy any shares in the company that day. Lucky miss.

Will I Be Back?

To the store? Definitely. I have thought the employees energetic and helpful in the past. They’ll get another chance. The stock may have to prove itself, especially after Bank of America Merrill Lynch made their opinion known this morning. BAML cut it’s rating on BBY to “Underperform” from “Neutral”, so it’s not like they loved the chain to begin with. However, the firm dropped their price objective for BBY from $70 to $50.

Best Buy will report its Q4 results on February 19th. Industry consensus is for EPS of $2.57, which would be good for earnings growth of 6.2%. Revenue is expected to print somewhere around $14.7 billion, which will illustrate a contraction year over year for that line item.

The stock trades at just 9.8 times forward looking earnings, and given the general outlook for growth, is it possible that these earnings projections are just too high. If relations with China don’t come to an amicable resolution in the near future… perhaps. That’s the way BAML feels at least for the current quarter, but also makes a point of mentioning the full year.

The Catch

The analyst behind the BAML opinion is not highly rated by TipRanks, at least not yet. The last highly rated, high profile analyst that I see that still has a buy rating on BBY, and a much higher price target ($81) is Piper Jaffray’s Peter Keith. My belief would be that if Keith throws in the towel, that the marketplace will notice. Perhaps at that point I will initiate an entry level long but not without another visit to my local store.

Free Lunch?

So, what can a trader do, other than sit on their hands, and wait to see if another shoe drops? Right now, a trader might be able to sell one BBY $47.50 February 15th put at an implied value of $1.29, instead of taking down an equity stake. Hopefully, this trader pockets $129, and takes his or her significant other out for a nice meal.

The risk is that the shares trade below $47.50 by expiration, and the trader is forced to eat these shares at a net basis of $46.21. Note that expiration is four days ahead of this Q4 earnings release. At the time of publication, Stephen Guilfoyle had no position in the securities mentioned.

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Source: What Can a Trader Do With Best Buy Stock? – TheStreet

Earnings Economy Investing Options Stocks Trading Consumer Products

Warren Buffett has been and continues to be a role model for millions of investors across the globe. His rich investment history going back to as far as 11 years old when bought his first stock, his impressive story has been used in hundreds of speeches globally, with every investor, beginner or pro, being asked to emulate him. However, who is Warren Buffet? In this video, we are going to look into the life of the man known as the “Oracle of Omaha”, highlighting the investments and decisions he made to become one of the richest and most respected businessmen in the world. Audible 30 Day Free Trial: https://amzn.to/2mO6ow0 #WarrenBuffett #WarrenWisdom Light Sting by Kevin MacLeod is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/…) Source: http://incompetech.com/music/royalty-… Artist: http://incompetech.com/ Practical Wisdom – Producing High Quality Content For Your Enjoyment. Please Consider Subscribing, and enable notifications. Thanks in Advance.

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The Charts of Ralph Lauren Look Bearish Ahead of Earnings

Source: The Charts of Ralph Lauren Look Bearish Ahead of Earnings

Cisco, Tilray, Aurora Cannabis, Alibaba, Trade Talks – 5 Things You Must Know

Here are five things you must know for Wednesday, May 15:

1. — Stock Futures Lower Amid Subsiding Trade War Worries

U.S. stock futures were lower Wednesday though sentiment was lifted by a softening of the rhetoric from Donald Trump in the U.S.-China trade war and suggestions that talks could resume in the coming weeks.

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Markets also were soothed by weaker-than-expected economic data from China that pointed to not only slowing growth in the world’s second-largest economy but also a weakening bargaining position in Beijing’s trade standoff with Washington.

With Trumps describing the dispute with China as “a little squabble” on Tuesday, as well as confirmation from the U.S. Treasury that Secretary Steven Mnuchin will soon travel to Beijing to resume trade talks, markets were happy to add risk following Tuesday’s gains on Wall Street.

Contracts tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 85 points, futures for the S&P 500 declined 8.70 points, and Nasdaq futures were down 23 points.

The economic calendar in the U.S. Wednesday includes Retail Sales for April at 8:30 a.m. ET, the Empire State Manufacturing Survey for May at 8:30 a.m., Industrial Production for April at 9:15 a.m., and Oil Inventories for the week ended May 10 at 10:30 a.m.

2. — Cisco, Alibaba and Macy’s Report Earnings Wednesday

Alibaba Group Holding (BABAGet Report)  posted stronger-than-expected fiscal fourth-quarter earnings as consumer growth on its online marketplace surged and its tie-up with Starbucks (SBUXGet Report) , the world’s biggest coffee chain, helped boost revenue and its cloud computing sales surged.

Macy’s (MGet Report)  earned 44 cents a share on an adjusted basis in the first quarter, higher than estimates of 33 cents. Same-store sales rose 0.7% in the quarter vs. estimates that called for a decline of 0.6%.

Earnings reports are also expected Wednesday from Cisco Systems (CSCOGet Report) and Jack in the Box (JACKGet Report) .

Cisco is a holding in Jim Cramer’s Action Alerts PLUS member club. Want to be alerted before Jim Cramer buys or sells CSCO? Learn more now.

3. — Tilray Rises After Revenue Beat, Aurora Cannabis Slumps

Tilray  (TLRY) shares were rising 4% to $50.71 in premarket trading Wednesday after the Canadian cannabis company posted stronger-than-expected first-quarter sales, while its domestic rival Aurora Cannabis (ACBGet Report) slumped after revenue missed analysts’ forecasts amid caps on retail store growth in the Canadian market.

Tilray said first-quarter revenue rose 195% from a year earlier to $23 million, as sales in Canada surged following the country’s decision to legalize cannabis for recreational use. The adjusted loss in the quarter was 27 cents a share, wider than analysts’ estimates, after a 5.7% drop in the average price per kilogram sold.

CEO Brendan Kennedy also said Tilray was looking to further its partnerships with U.S. and international companies as the potential $150 billion global market for cannabis undergoes a generational change in both regulation and consumer acceptance.

“We’ve been inundated with contacts from Fortune 500 companies who are interested in exploring partnerships with Tilray,” Kennedy told investors on a conference call late Tuesday. “And it’s a range of companies from a broad variety of industries.”

“We’re also starting to have conversations with U.S. retailers who are interested in carrying CBD product in the second half of this year,” he added.

Aurora Cannabis, meanwhile, was tumbling 4.7% to $7.99 in premarket trading after its fiscal third-quarter revenue of C$75.2 million missed Wall Street forecasts of C$77.2 million and consumer cannabis sales were just under C$30 million as provincial regulators limited the number of retail outlets.

The company reported a loss attributable to shareholders in the quarter of $C158 million said Aurora Cannabis said it was “well positioned to achieve positive EBITDA beginning in fiscal Q4.”

Aurora Cannabis is in TheStreet’s Stocks Under $10 portfolio. To find out more about how you can profit from this investing approach, please click here.

4. — Walmart Considering IPO for U.K. Unit Asda

Walmart (WMTGet Report) is considering an initial public offering for its U.K. grocery subsidiary Asda, a listing that that could value the company at as much as an estimated 8.5 billion pounds ($11 billion), Bloomberg reported.

The news comes just weeks after U.K. antitrust regulators blocked a planned merger between Asda, Britain’s fourth-largest supermarket, and rival J Sainsbury.

“While we are not rushing into anything, I want you to know that we are seriously considering a path to an IPO,” Judith McKenna, the company’s international chief, told employees at an event in Leeds, according to a summary of the event provided by Asda. Any preparations for going public would “take years,” she said, Bloomberg reported.

5. — Nelson Peltz’s Trian May Wage Activist Campaign at Legg Mason – Report

Nelson Peltz’s Trian Fund Management may wage an activist campaign at Legg Mason (LMGet Report) and push the mutual fund company to improve its flagging results, The Wall Street Journal reported, citing people familiar with the matter.

It would be the second time in 10 years that Trian has targeted the mutual fund company, according to Reuters.

Trian recently has held discussions with Legg Mason about the need to cut costs and improve profit margins, the people told the Journal. The two sides may still negotiate a settlement that sidesteps a proxy fight, the sources added.

On a conference call with analysts Monday, Legg Mason CEO Joseph Sullivan said the company was moving to slash expenses.

“While there is much work to be done, we now have increased visibility into and have gained even greater confidence in our ability to deliver $100 million or more of annual savings now within two years,” he said.

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Source: Cisco, Tilray, Aurora Cannabis, Alibaba, Trade Talks – 5 Things You Must Know

Stock Market Correction – 4 Crucial Steps To Position Your Watch List And Portfolio

Many investors are scratching their heads when it comes to positioning the portfolio in the stock market correction. However, we think that there are four crucial steps that every investor should take into an account. Without further ado, let’s see these steps.

Table of Contents

Stock Market Correction – 4 Crucial Steps To Position Your Watch List And Portfolio

Analyze the Stock Market

Before anything, you should analyze the stock market conditions. The reason for this is that many stocks tend to move in the same direction as the stock market. A stock market correction by the vertical violation or slice below the 50-day line tend to have a very high failure rate for the follow-through day.

Furthermore, the market is, for the big part, driven by news. The investors should always have their mind opened for the new stock market uptrend.

Hedge Your Portfolio

You should manage your trades like a portfolio. After the market turn in the Q4 2018 market correction, IBD’s team added ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 (UPRO). Thanks to this decision, the risk levels were managed against the S&P 500. Let’s not forget that UPRO, when converted to an ETF, corresponds to three times the daily performance of the S&P 500.

Utilize Swing Trading

IBD is constantly scanning for new ideas for its SwingTrader platform. This can be quite an efficient method. For example, we had seven names on the IBD’s swing trading list in September 2018. But, by the end of the month, there weren’t any quality stocks. If the pickings are slim, the general rule is that stock market conditions are weakening.

Make a Watchlist

Finally, make your own watchlist. You need to be able to spot the top stocks and then add them to the watchlist. When you do that, you’ll be able to monitor your selected stocks and carefully choose which one to invest in.

Source: https://www.investors.com/how-to-invest/stock-market-correction-watchlist-portfolio/

Disclaimer: The information on this site is provided for discussion purposes only, and should not be misconstrued as investment advice. Under no circumstances does this information represent a recommendation to buy or sell securities.

Source: Stock Market Correction – 4 Crucial Steps To Position Your Watch List And Portfolio – stock market correction 2019, stock market correction 2018

Vietnam’s Stocks Offer Long-Term Profits With Status Upgrades

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Vietnam has surged to become Southeast Asia’s best-performing stock market this year, posting a 12% gain for the benchmark VN index on the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange. According to Bloomberg data, Vietnam was the third-best performing market globally over the past five years. Although investors will find that most private banks and wealth managers are still unable to buy or sell Vietnamese equities directly, I would argue that this should be seen an encouraging sign because the market is still not yet on the radar of most investors but the indications are that it will be in the future.

Vietnam appears to be Asia’s most interesting macro story and investment case this year. The country’s ongoing economic reforms combined with recent geopolitical developments have certainly bolstered the country’s outlook. The World Bank expects Vietnam to be among Asia’s fastest-growing economies this year, with the country’s GDP growth rate forecast to reach 6.6%. And Vietnam’s two stock market looks set to benefit further from a major potential catalyst for renewed interest if its equities are added to the widely followed MSCI Emerging Markets Index, which is both long overdue and seems like to happen by 2020, according to Mark Mobius, the veteran investor who earned the moniker: “father of emerging markets.”

Many forget how far Vietnam has progressed since the launch of its “doi moi,” or renovation, policies back in 1986. The political and economic initiative introduced just over two decades ago was intended to facilitate the country’s transition from a centralized economy to a “socialist-oriented market economy.” Doi moi was meant to combine government planning with free-market incentives.

“In the beginning of the 90s, the per capita income of Singapore was 125 times higher than Vietnam, now it is 24 times,” Vietnam’s Prime Minister Nguyen Xuan Phuc told delegates at the World Economic Forum to ASEAN last year in Hanoi. “Thailand used to be 16 times higher than Vietnam, now the figure is 2.5 times. Compared to Japan, the figure came down from 267 times to 16 times, or the U.S., the figure decreased from 252 times to the current 25 times.”

Vietnam’s wealth grew by 210% between 2007 and 2017, according to the real estate consultancy Knight Frank, and more than 200 Vietnamese citizens now have investable assets of at least $30 million. Having expanded by 320% between 2000 and 2016, Vietnam’s “super-rich” class is growing faster than that of India (290%) and China (281%). And if current trends continue, it will have grown by another 170%–from 14,300 to 38,600 millionaires–by 2026.

Vietnam has been seen by many as having benefited from the new geopolitical realities of the ongoing U.S.-China trade war. Vietnam is expected to attract more manufacturing FDI as companies seek to build a “China plus one” sourcing strategy to mitigate the risk of further trade disputes between the world’s two largest economies. In terms of the stock market, the most direct beneficiaries of this ongoing trend include the Vietnam’s industrial park operators, logistics and port operators and air cargo handling companies

Boeing’s CEO Kevin McCallister, left, exchanges documents with VietJet’s CEO Nguyen Thi Phuong during a signing ceremony at the Presidential Palace in Hanoi on February 27, 2019. (Photo by Saul LOEB/AFP)

And although the recent the Trump-Kim summit in Hanoi may have been a disappointment in terms of denuclearizing the Korean Peninsula, it was a boon for the host country. The summit  helped to raise the awareness of “Brand Vietnam” on the global stage while reaffirming the view that the country has successfully transitioned from a closed, command economy to a market-based, trade-oriented economy. The country’s air carriers highlighted that fact when they signed more than $21 billion in airline orders and service contracts with U.S. companies on the sidelines of the summit.

Vietnam’s inclusion into some of the world’s most influential equity indices would deliver a much-deserved boost in terms of interest from investors in the nation’s stock market.  According to an annual review by the FTSE Russell released last September, Vietnam is still currently classified as a frontier market, but has been added to its watch list for possible reclassification as a secondary emerging market. The probability that it will be upgraded in September this year seems relatively high in my view. Currently, the FTSE’s secondary emerging category includes China, India, Indonesia, Pakistan, the Philippines and Russia, among others.

Vietnam could also be classified as an emerging market by MSCI next year if its free-float rate increases and the market infrastructure is adjusted to better accommodate foreign investors. Most of the concerns pointed out by MSCI about Vietnam’s upgrade are technical and can be addressed with new regulations. Probably the biggest obstacle to overcome would be the willingness of Vietnamese business owners to welcome foreign investment. This openness to foreign investment will form the biggest impression about Vietnam in investors’ eyes, besides the official market status by MSCI.

Policymakers have already expressed their intentions of removing restrictions on foreign ownership of state-owned and listed companies by the end of 2019, as the government looks to open its capital-hungry economy further in order to sustain its rapid growth. The Finance Ministry is currently drafting an overhaul for the nation’s securities law, the first major amendment since 2010.

In order to prepare the market for MSCI EM Index inclusion and to deepen liquidity, VN30 index futures contracts were introduced last year and currently the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange is seeking the Finance Ministry’s approval to start the trading of covered equity warrants in the third quarter of 2019. Underlying assets for the warrants will be stocks that meet certain conditions, such as: belonging to VN30 index or HNX30 index; having free float ratios of at least 20%; an average daily market cap in the most recent 6 months of at least 5 trillion Vietnamese dong ($215 million). Vietnam’s markets regulator is also studying new derivatives index contracts for the future that would use the VNX200 index or VNX100 in addition to the current contracts for the VN30 index. The Hanoi Stock Exchange is also aiming to launch Vietnam government bond futures in the third quarter of 2019.

I’m a portfolio strategist based in Singapore, covering global macro, geopolitics, frontier and emerging markets as well as Blockchain and emerging Tech.

Source: Vietnam’s Stocks Offer Long-Term Profits With Status Upgrades

Stock Market Vs. Real Estate: The Right Approach For Passive Income Investors

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For new and hopeful passive investors, most of the accessible information on the topic of the stock market versus real estate presents widely varying opinions and tends to over complicate things by assuming you have a solid education in both fields. Rather than feeling informed, this type of guidance tends to leave you in a state of confusion.

For newcomers to the debate of real estate or the stock market, I prefer to share an oversimplification of the subject to ensure you can capture the basics, providing enough information so you can start asking better questions as you embark on an investing path.

First, I am assuming that you want to grow your retirement funds in a safe investment that will produce decent returns. Second, I am assuming you are busy and don’t have the time to gain the in-depth knowledge and experience needed to actively trade or invest in the stock market or real estate and are rather looking for simple solutions.

When it comes to your retirement and the stock market, the most common passive investments are mutual funds. If you’re fortunate enough to average a 10% return on your investments and then you factor in inflation and fees, your eventual return may be lower than anticipated.

In real estate, your passive opportunities are in private lending and rental properties. Private lending commonly involves lending funds to a real estate investor or business in exchange for a set return and length of time. (Full disclosure: I am co-partner of a turnkey investment company.) Turnkey rental properties allow the investor to be as hands-off as they like. This means a turnkey company purchases, rehabs, tenants and manages the property. To truly make this a passive investment, turnkey companies do all the work for you.

Here’s what several key factors of a passive investment looks like in real estate and the stock market:

Control: With the stock market, you are at the mercy of the fund and management. With private lending, you control who you invest with, the rate of return, the length of time you want to invest and approval of the asset your money is secured by. With rental properties, you are in control of what you buy, the improvements that will increase rents and what costs are passed onto the tenants, such as landscaping and shared utility expenses.

Tangible asset: With the stock market, you lack anything tangible. With private lending and rental real estate, your funds are secured by a physical asset.

Cash flow: With the stock market, if we hit a down cycle, your profits are instantly lost. In real estate, in any economic downturn, private lenders have up to 50% equity already built in, and investors with rental properties keep netting their monthly cash flow from their tenants despite the dip.

Leverage: With the stock market, you invest your retirement savings or cash on hand. The same is true for private lending. You can leverage rental properties four-to-one, sometimes five-to-one, meaning your $50,000 investment can buy you $200,000-250,000 in real estate. In a rising market, this is a good thing and will maximize your cash on cash return.

Tax advantages: If you purchased $50,000 in stock that is now worth $200,000, you will pay taxes on that amount when you sell it. Rental properties provide opportunities for multiple tax advantages such as depreciation, deductions and a 1031 Exchange.

Appreciation: You don’t get to factor in added appreciation when investing in the stock market or private lending, but you do with a tangible asset like rental real estate. When you bring together the advantage of real estate being tangible, there’s really no comparison for the passive investor.

The math: Assuming a $50,000, 15-year investment in the passive opportunities we’ve discussed in this article:

• A mutual fund investment averaging 10% returns after fees ends up at a 7% net annualized return = Almost $138,000 after 15 years.

• Private lending investment with no fees averaging 12% net annualized return = Over $273,000 after 15 years.

• A turnkey rental property investment leveraging your $50,000 to buy $200,000 in real estate, averaging 6% in net annualized return after expenses and 3% annual appreciation of the asset = Over $431,000 after 15 years.

Whether you’re investing for your approaching retirement or beginning your passive income approach well ahead of time, passive investing is for anyone who seeks true financial peace of mind and passive income. If you had $10,000 month coming in passively, what would you be doing today? You don’t have to be an active real estate investor to achieve your goals — but you do need to find passive ways to direct some of your money into real estate.

By: Dani Lynn Robison

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