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A Stark Prediction For The Future Of Bitcoin, ETH, XRP, And LTC

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Bitcoin, ETH, XRP, and LTC prices, will be on a roller coaster for a long time. Traders and investors will make and lose fortunes in record time, betting on them. In the end, say some analysts, these cryptocurrencies will either die on their own, or be killed by the ‘establishment’ — big governments and big banks around the world that defend sovereign currencies.

Take the case for Bitcoin.

The “people’s currency” holds a great promise: to become the first true global currency, free of the control of central banks that print money and big banks that generate credit.  But to do that, Bitcoin must gain the trust of the “general public.“ This means it must be adopted as a medium of exchange, standard of value, and store of value, replacing national currencies.That isn’t easy, given the many obstacles Bitcoin has to overcome. Like lack of awareness, familiarity, and stability, etc. And that makes some experts bearish about the future of Bitcoin.

Bitcoin Price YTD

Bitcoin Price YTD

Lars Seier Christensen, Chairman of Concordium, the next-generation decentralized world computer, is one of them. “In the longer term, I am bearish on bitcoin as I believe it does not have the necessary characteristics of a longer-term valuable asset and, eventually, that reality will catch up” says Christensen.“But in the short term, price movements will likely be random as Bitcoin is affected by low liquidity and unpredictable bigger trades.”

Unpredictability will make it hard for Bitcoin to gain broad adoption as a medium of exchange. And without broad adoption, Bitcoin will remain a play for speculators and true believers, and eventually die on its own.

But even if Bitcoin overcomes all these obstacles and gains broad adoption by the general public, and was in a position to replace national currencies — ie, become the new currency — what would happen then?

Bears argue that the “establishment” cannot afford to let that happen.

For a couple of reasons, including  the loss of Seigniorage” — simply put, the profit made by the national governments by printing currency. Then there’s the profit made by banks helping circulate that money and create credit.

The establishment will do whatever it takes to defend these profits from Bitcoin and any other cryptocurrency that seeks to replace it.

Recent Congressional hearings on Libra attests to the determination of the establishment to protect the dollar from competing cryptocurrencies. In a rare display of unity, Democrats and Republicans opposed Libra, and had many unkind words for Bitcoin.

“Cryptocurrencies that are ONLY there as a currency substitute, however, have no real long-term future,” says Christensen.“They will be outlawed by governments wanting to control the money supply and taxation, and in any case, cryptocurrencies have no intrinsic long-term value of significance. Hence, Bitcoin will only survive as a fringe activity.”

Not everyone agrees with this gloomy assessment, however. Dave Hodgson, Director and Co-Founder of NEM Ventures, is one of them.

“In my opinion, Bitcoin will never die nor be killed by the establishment, despite some people’s efforts to the contrary,” says Hodgson. “The recent drop we have seen in Bitcoin is within the boundaries of what our analysts were expecting from technical analysis. However, the timescale has been slightly skewed in light of recent announcements, primarily from US government representatives.”

 Corentin Denoeud, CEO and Co-founder of Blockchain Studio, is another .

“The fact that governments around the world are even talking about crypto is a sign of progress for the blockchain industry in general,” says Denoeud. “While countries such as India have called for the outlawing of cryptocurrencies, representatives from Germany’s Central Bank have responded favourably and advanced the view that cryptocurrencies are not a threat to global monetary stability. Even China, who has previously banned ICOs and cryptocurrency trading, has called bitcoin a ‘safe-haven asset’ (via its state-run media agency) and is now reportedly stepping up its own efforts to create its own cryptocurrency, following Facebook’s unveiling of Libra.”

 While it’s still unclear which side is right, one thing is clear: Bitcoin (and ETH, XRP, LTC, etc) true believers who think that cryptocurrency will eventually replace national currencies, need a 101 lesson in Money and Banking.

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I’m Professor and Chair of the Department of Economics at LIU Post in New York. I also teach at Columbia University. I’ve published several articles in professional journals and magazines, including Barron’s, The New York Times, Japan Times, Newsday, Plain Dealer, Edge Singapore, European Management Review, Management International Review, and Journal of Risk and Insurance. I’ve have also published several books, including Collective Entrepreneurship, The Ten Golden Rules, WOM and Buzz Marketing, Business Strategy in a Semiglobal Economy, China’s Challenge: Imitation or Innovation in International Business, and New Emerging Japanese Economy: Opportunity and Strategy for World Business. I’ve traveled extensively throughout the world giving lectures and seminars for private and government organizations, including Beijing Academy of Social Science, Nagoya University, Tokyo Science University, Keimung University, University of Adelaide, Saint Gallen University, Duisburg University, University of Edinburgh, and Athens University of Economics and Business. Interests: Global markets, business, investment strategy, personal success.

Source: A Stark Prediction For The Future Of Bitcoin, ETH, XRP, And LTC

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Short-Term XRP Market Analysis: Must Hold Uptrend

As Bitcoin (BTC) faces a moment of some decision, XRP (XRP) too stands at a critical juncture for short to medium term trading. Namely, the notable altcoin must hold within consolidation patterns on *both* XRP/BTC and XRP/USD charts, and continue pushing toward a breakout scenario later in June – and it must do this despite what Bitcoin does.

XRP/BTC has been consolidating in a triangle pattern, after blowing through an important uptrend support level in April and bouncing of a lower support level in May. That bounce brought some impressive USD gains during May, 60% worth.

6 june xrp pa(source: TradingView.com)

This pattern should conclude about mid-month, if it holds, although it is not in itself a particularly bullish formation, and thus could break down at any time. Arguing for the weakness of XRP in this pattern, we notice that XRP/BTC has not retested the top of the pattern on this latest cycle.

6 june xrp pa(source: TradingView.com)

Looking at XRP/USD above, we note what strongly resembles an ascending triangle consolidation pattern – a bullish pattern. Although this uptrend has held, Bitcoin’s uncertainty could become a problem: any dramatic drop in Bitcoin’s price could easily knock XRP/USD out of this pattern, down to $0.35 or even $0.30.

As Bitcoin reaches the end of its own small consolidation pattern, a more dramatic move should come soon. After that, it may quickly become evident which way XRP is going to go. It is definitely possible that, even with a Bitcoin dump, XRP/BTC could have a leg up and keep the XRP/USD chart from falling out.

6 june xrp pa(source: TradingView.com)

As we can see on the above weekly chart, XRP has been one of the worst performing major altcoins of 2019. Maybe that will change soon.

The views and opinions expressed here do not reflect those of CryptoGlobe.com and do not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research.

Source: CryptoGlobe

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