New Survey Finds Inflation, Housing Costs And Eviction Threats Hitting Minorities Hardest

Minority communities have been the hardest hit financially by the current spike in consumer prices and housing costs, with high percentages of Black, Latino and Native American families reporting serious financial problems and even threats of eviction, according to a survey published Monday by the Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, NPR and the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation.

With the annual increase in consumer prices hitting a 40-year high of 9.1% in June, Americans, by a wide margin, cite inflation as the number one problem facing the U.S. But the actual impact on individual households is more dispersed. For example, in the new survey, 58% of Black adults, 56% of Latinos and 69% of Native Americans say inflation has caused them serious financial problems, compared to 44% of white and 36% of Asian adults.

Soaring rents are similarly hitting certain minority households the hardest. In the new survey, 16% of Black renters, 10% of Latino renters and 21% of Native American renters reported they had been evicted or threatened with eviction in the past year. That compares to 9% of white and 4% of Asian families. “This is just a warning from this survey, that unless the government can provide some help for vulnerable populations, a year from now they are going to have more people who are homeless,” said Robert J. Blendon, co-director of the survey and an emeritus professor of Health Policy and political analysis at the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health

Programs of emergency rental aid helped around 5 million American families during the early months of the pandemic, with 1.5 million fewer evictions compared to pre-pandemic levels. After 22 million Americans lost their jobs during the start of the pandemic, Congress provided $25 billion in emergency rental assistance in the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act (CAR AR +3%ES Act) passed in March 2020. A year later, in the American Rescue Plan, it added another $21.55 billion of rental assistance.

The CARES Act also included a temporary federal eviction moratorium that expired in the summer of 2020. It was later extended by the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), and then by Congress, and then again by the CDC. Finally, on August 3, 2021, after a surge in Covid-19 cases due to the Delta variant, the CDC extended the moratorium yet again. Later that month, the Supreme Court ruled against it.

Meanwhile, the emergency rental funds Congress appropriated have either been used up or are being returned to the federal government unspent. For example, last Thursday, Mississippi Governor Tate Reeves announced his state would halt the federally-funded Rental Assistance for Mississippians Program by Aug. 15, meaning as much as $130 million for the program would be returned to the federal government.

California, having used up its federal money, ended its Covid-19 rental assistance program on March 31, 2022. It sent more than $4 billion to 344,000 households –but around 5,400 tenants and landlords have received emails asking to return money received in Covid-19 rent relief.

The housing component of the CPI increased 5.6% in the 12 months ended in June, but that includes costs to both homeowners and renters. In many places renters have seen far greater increases. According to housing data collected by Redfin RDFN +14.3%, average asking rents in June were up 14% compared to June 2021. In some sunbelt cities like Miami, rent has increased nearly 40%.

The recent spike in rent prices leaves low-income and minority groups in particularly precarious situations. A May report by the Federal Reserve Board showed that as of last fall, about half of renters with income between $25,000 and $49,999 were already “cost burdened”—meaning they were spending more than 30% of their income on rent. In the Fed survey, 44% of Black households and 37% of Hispanic households reported they were renters, compared with just 21% of white households.

“Unless some sort of emergency help is provided, a substantial number of minority populations are going to be evicted over the next year,” Blendon warns.

MORE FROM FORBESMortgage Applications Rise In Potential Housing Market Respite-Could Home Buying Become More Affordable Soon?

Follow me on Twitter or LinkedIn.

I’m a summer intern reporting for Forbes Money and Markets. I graduated from Boston University with a degree in Journalism

Source: New Survey Finds Inflation, Housing Costs And Eviction Threats Hitting Minorities Hardest

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How Online Savings Accounts Work

Banking habits continue to evolve as consumers are given more and more choices of where and how they bank. While traditional banking still has its loyal fanbase, it’s hard to compete with the convenience of being able to manage your bank accounts from a computer or smartphone.

The appreciation for face-to-face human interaction that comes with the best banks and credit unions may never go away, but the reputation that traditional banks have for charging high fees and paying low interest rates might leave you wondering how exactly you’re benefiting from keeping your money there.

When compared with traditional brick-and-mortar banks, online savings accounts often offer better interest rates, giving your savings a chance to grow. This is especially true if you open a high-yield online savings account. Learn more about these types of accounts and how you could benefit from one.

What is an online savings account?

An online savings account is a savings account with a financial institution that usually doesn’t have any brick-and-mortar branches and operates fully online. Even though they’re completely digital, online savings accounts must follow the same banking regulations as traditional banks, such as Regulation D of the Federal Reserve limiting the number of withdrawals each month to six.

Since all of your interactions with your account take place digitally, you have the freedom to manage your savings when and wherever you like, without the hassle of having to add another stop to your schedule or having to wait for the bank to open. The websites and mobile apps for online banks are essentially storefronts, so online banks often devote lots of resources to make sure they’re optimized and easy-to-navigate. This allows you to skip the lines at the bank and seamlessly move your money around with just a few clicks.

The absence of physical locations also means online banks don’t have to pay the typically associated costs, such as maintenance or real estate costs. These savings are often passed on to online bank customers in the form of higher interest rates, lower fees, no monthly maintenance fees, and no minimum account balances. This gives customers more flexibility and freedom to do what they want with their money. This means they can be a good fit for financial goals like building an emergency fund.

Online savings accounts do have their drawbacks when compared to a traditional brick-and-mortar bank, however. If you regularly deal with cash, for instance, you might find yourself without any means of depositing into your account. That’s because some online banks don’t provide ATM access. This might require a separate checking account just to handle these sorts of transactions. For those who don’t want accounts spread across multiple institutions, this could be an inconvenience.

On the plus side, there are online checking accounts that provide debit cards that can even earn you cash back or that provide budgeting tools in their mobile apps. So it’s important that you shop around to see what each bank offers and to find the account that fits your needs.

How do deposits and withdrawals work in an online savings account?

Most online banks offer several ways to make deposits and withdrawals, though they might vary from bank to bank. Here are the most common ways to fund and get money out of an online savings account:

Depositing funds into your account

  • Transfer funds from a linked account, also known as an ACH (Automated Clearing House) Transfer (usually takes one to three business days)
  • A check, either by mail or mobile check deposit
  • Direct deposit from your employer
  • Wire transfer

Withdrawing money from your account

  • Transfer money to a linked account
  • Request a check
  • Outgoing wire transfer
  • ATMs, if your savings account is linked to a debit card

Things get a bit more complicated when it comes to depositing cash because of the lack of physical branches. While there are some online banks that have a few retail locations, like Capital One cafes, these are few and far between. If you find yourself needing to deposit cash, you can try one of these options:

Cash deposits

  • Deposit locally into an account with a physical branch and transfer the funds electronically
  • Buy a money order and deposit it like you would a check
  • Load cash onto a reloadable prepaid debit card, such as the American Express Bluebird card, and transfer the money electronically to your online savings account
  • Deposit into a ATM that accepts cash deposits (if available)

Top savings accounts for June 2022

With so many savings account options to choose from, it can all be a bit overwhelming. Factors like a high APY (annual percentage yield), minimum balance requirements, and fees are incredibly important when making your decision. You could get stuck with a low yield or hidden fees. Luckily, we’ve made it easy for you to pick the best option to start earning interest today. Check out our list of the best savings accounts for June 2022.

How to open an online savings account

If you decide that an online savings account can help you meet your savings goals or other personal finance goals, then you may be ready to open an account. The process for opening an online savings account is pretty straightforward. It should only take a few minutes and usually involves completing these steps:

  1. Fill out the application Here you’ll submit your personal identifying and contact information, including your name, date of birth, address, phone number, email, and tax identification number (such as a Social Security number).
  2. Choose your account typeYou’ll need to decide whether you want to be the sole account owner or if you want a joint account. If you choose to have a co-owner, you’ll need to enter the personal information of each account holder.
  3. Designate beneficiaries In this section, you can choose who will receive the money from your account in the event you pass away.
  4. Fund the account How much you must deposit depends on the bank — many require just $1, but others may require a larger minimum deposit to open the account. Once you decide on the amount, the most common methods to fund the account are by bank transfer, sending or depositing a check, or using a wire transfer.
  5. Set up your login information Since access to your savings account is online, you’ll need to set up a username and password to complete the setup of your account.

What kind of interest rates can I expect?

Higher interest rates are one of the major benefits of online savings accounts, though they vary from bank to bank. An account with Capital One 360, for instance, will give you an interest rate of 0.70% (as of June 3, 2022), while the Aspiration Spend & Save account offers up to 5.00% APY with Aspiration Plus (as of June 3, 2022). Online banks are generally a good place to look for a high-yield savings account with a competitively high APY.

How can online banks offer such good interest rates?

Because online-only banks don’t need to pay the employee wages, maintenance, and real estate costs associated with brick-and-mortar branches, they can charge fewer fees, require no minimum balance, require a low or no minimum opening deposit, and usually offer better interest rates.

What is the typical minimum balance for an online savings account?

The minimum balance requirement for an online savings account is usually structured one of three ways:

  • No minimum balance, which is typical for many online banks
  • A minimum balance to keep the account open, which could be as little as $1 or as much as several thousand dollars
  • A minimum balance to earn the advertised high interest rate, with anything less earning a lower APY

Is online banking safe? Is my money insured?

You’ll want to make sure your new bank has the words “member FDIC” somewhere on its website or marketing materials. The FDIC, or Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, is an independent agency of the United States government. If you deposit money at an FDIC-insured bank and the bank later fails, your money is protected (typically a maximum of $250,000 is covered) by that FDIC insurance

However, banks are not mandated to be FDIC-insured, so it’s always important to make sure the bank you’re considering is. To see if a bank is FDIC-insured, you can go to the FDIC BankFind page. If you are banking with a credit union, you’ll want to be sure they are covered by the NCUA.

Even if the account is insured by the FDIC, you want to make sure the bank you choose uses robust technology to protect your money because the FDIC does not provide reimbursements for fraud perpetrated against accounts.

Most banks offer some type of security guarantee and limited liability protection for its customers. Ally Bank, for example, offers a security guarantee, which states “that you will not be liable for any unauthorized Online or Mobile Banking transaction as long as you report the unauthorized transaction…within 60 days from when your statement is made available.” Ally also offers a range of security measures, from account monitoring to free anti-virus software that can protect up to three devices.

There are also measures you can take yourself to help protect your account from such events, such as setting up multi-factor authentication and text alerts, using difficult passwords, avoiding public Wi-Fi when accessing your bank information, and installing anti-virus software, to name a few.

Is your money stuck in an online savings account?

No. Just like a traditional savings account, your money is accessible to you when you need it. With just a few clicks, you can move money in and out of your savings and into another account.

Transfers to an account within the same bank are usually instant, while transferring to an account with a different bank might take a few business days before the funds are made available.

By Matt Miczulski

Source: How Online Savings Accounts Work | FinanceBuzz

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ECB Warns House Price Correction Looms As Interest Rates Rise

Eurozone property prices are set to correct as interest rates begin to rise in response to higher inflation, posing greater risks for low-income households, the Bank has warned. Central European.

A reversal in the region’s housing markets was one of the main risks identified by the ECB’s biannual financial stability review, which also warned that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine meant more companies were likely to default due to weaker growth, higher inflation and rising borrowing costs. .

Anticipating that asset prices could fall further if economic growth continues to weaken or if inflation rises faster than expected, the ECB said a sharp rise in rates could cause a “reversal” in oil prices. real estate in the euro zone, which it said were already overvalued by around 15%, relative to overall economic output and rents.

The central bank is preparing to raise its deposit rate in July for the first time in a decade and markets are expecting four quarter-point hikes this year, which it says “could challenge the valuations of riskier assets, such as equities”.

Mortgage rates in the eurozone have already been rising since the start of the year. The ECB’s composite indicator of the cost of borrowing to buy a home rose from a low of 1.3% last September to 1.47% in March.

“A sharp rise in real interest rates could induce house price corrections in the near term, with the current low level of interest rates making a substantial reversal in house prices more likely,” the statement said. ECB.

House prices rose nearly 10% in the euro zone last year, the fastest rate in more than two decades, according to data from Eurostat, the statistics office of the European Commission. They could fall between 0.83 and 1.17% for every 0.1 percentage point increase in mortgage rates, after adjusting for inflation, the ECB calculated.

The Bundesbank recently warned that German banks were becoming too complacent about the risk of borrower default and the possibility of rising interest rates, increasing the amount of capital lenders must put up as collateral for their mortgages.

“We think the German real estate market should peak in the next two years, probably around 2024, although it could be much earlier if we have an interest rate shock,” said Jochen Möbert, an analyst at Deutsche Bank Research. .

Rising interest rates will likely prompt institutional investors to shift money they have put into real estate into the German bond market, Möbert said, predicting that would likely happen when Bund yields rise from 1 % currently at between 2 and 4%. .

“Rental yields are below 4% in German cities on average and in metropolises they are lower, in some cases they are even 2.5%, so once the risk-free rates reach this level, it would be logical to go back to the Bunds,” he added.

The central bank said a switch to fixed-rate mortgages would shield many households from the immediate impact of rising borrowing costs.

Wealthier households could also cushion the blow by saving less or tapping into extra savings accumulated during the coronavirus pandemic, he said. However, he warned that this would leave lower-income households “more exposed to the inflationary shock”.

The ECB said its recent “vulnerability analysis” of the banking sector had shown it was “resilient to the macroeconomic ramifications of the war in Ukraine”.

Banks accounting for more than three-quarters of the sector’s assets would maintain a Tier 1 capital ratio above 9% in its “worst case scenario”, in which the eurozone economy shrinks over the next three years, it said. said the central bank.

Rising interest rates should increase banks’ credit margins in the short term. But Luis de Guindos, vice-president of the ECB, warned that “in the medium term, the situation could be different”.

De Guindos said banks’ profit margins could be eroded by a “duration gap” between rising short-term funding costs for banks and their longer-term loans, such as mortgages, which hold rates down. down for many years.

He admitted that the ECB had been “too pessimistic” in its 2020 warning that the fallout from the pandemic could lead to a €1.4 billion increase in non-performing loans for banks, which did not unfold. materialized as bankruptcies have instead fallen thanks to massive state support.

However, he said rising inflation and rising borrowing costs could cause some companies that have already been weakened during the pandemic to default. “Perhaps the insolvencies that didn’t happen during the pandemic could, at least in part, happen now,” he added.

ECB warns that a correction of prices real estate profile with rise of interest rates

Source: ECB warns house price correction looms as interest rates rise

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Inflation Increases Risk of Recession In Global Economy

The Federal Reserve’s bid to calm inflation by raising interest rates and withdrawing emergency stimulus programs is gearing up just as the global economy is displaying worrisome signs of weakness, aggravated by the war in Ukraine and covid’s continuing hold on industrial supply chains.

The risk, some economists said, is that the Fed and other central banks that are implementing similar anti-inflation policies may adjust too slowly to a complex and fast-changing global landscape.

However, the persistence of a tight labour market and high inflation pose concerns for the Biden administration and the Federal Reserve. This week, the US central bank raised its benchmark interest rate by 0.5 percentage points for the first time since 2000 — to a target range of between 0.75 and 1 per cent — to curb rising prices. Inflation in the US is currently running at a 40-year high.

Meanwhile, US stocks fell on Friday, extending sharp losses from the previous session, as signs of a tightening jobs market compounded inflation worries. European shares also declined, with the regional Stoxx 600 index losing almost 2 per cent, putting it on track to end the week more than 4 per cent down. London’s FTSE 100 lost 1.3 per cent and Germany’s Xetra Dax also fell 1.3 per cent.

The Nasdaq Composite, comprised of many of the largest US technology companies, closed down 5 per cent yesterday, in its biggest one-day decline since 2020. The blue-chip S&P 500 index also declined on Thursday with a 3.5 per cent loss. As the world continues to deal with the economic impact of the pandemic, the war in Ukraine is exacerbating inflationary problems.

Central banks are faced with the risk that controlling rising prices could lead to economic decline. The Bank of England warned yesterday that the UK economy was heading towards a recession and inflation would hit 10 per cent this year, as it lifted the interest rate to 1 per cent, the country’s highest level since 2009.

With UK prices likely to rise at their fastest rate in more than 40 years as sustained double-digit inflation becomes possible for the first time since the 1970s, the BoE — which is celebrating 25 years of independence this week — faces challenges that it has not encountered in the past quarter of a century, writes economics editor Chris Giles.

Line chart of CPI inflation and successive BoE forecasts, 2021-22 (%) showing The Bank did not expect to have to tackle double-digit inflation Latest news Ukraine urges Médecins Sans Frontières to evacuate wounded from Azovstal steel plant Glass Lewis advises Amazon shareholders to vote against pay policy German industry suffers biggest drop in output since start of pandemic For up-to-the-minute news updates.

Need to know: the economy China’s president Xi Jinping has reaffirmed his commitment to the country’s controversial zero-Covid strategy, warning against “any slackening” in the effort and vowing to crack down on criticism of the policy despite signs of damage to the economy. US homebuyers are stretching their budgets to buy new homes and rushing to strike deals to avoid higher mortgage financing costs, according to the latest industry data.

Mortgage rates have reached their highest levels in more than a decade, according to the recent Freddie Mac survey. Latest for the UK/Europe Momentum is building for the European Central Bank to raise interest rates in July to fight soaring inflation, after dovish policymakers indicated they were ready to accept an end to almost eight years of negative borrowing costs.

The EU is considering providing more time and money to Hungary to adapt to an embargo on Russian oil after talks on Brussels’ plans for imposing sanctions became “stuck”. Vodafone, the UK telecoms group under pressure from an activist investor, has strengthened its board with two appointments. They are Simon Segars, former chief executive of Arm, the UK-based chip business, and Delphine Cunci, an industry heavyweight in France.

Europe’s largest activist fund Cevian Capital has been pushing the mobile group to refresh its management, which it believes has insufficient experience. Help us compile our ranking of Europe’s Diversity Leaders. Employees and workplace experts are invited to complete a short survey to assess companies’ progress on inclusivity by June 12.

Coronavirus infections in England have fallen to their lowest level since the start of the year, according to official data published today, as the spread of the disease slows across the UK. Global latest US regulators have travelled to mainland China to discuss a potential compromise over audit disclosures that could stop around 270 Chinese companies from being delisted by New York exchanges, according to two people close to the matter.

Tomorrow you can hear Henry Kissinger, Chimamanda Ngozi Adichie and more at our inaugural US FTWeekend Festival in Washington, DC. Business German sportswear group Adidas has warned that its operating profit this year would be lower than previously expected, as the company struggles with disrupted supply chains, closed shops in China and rising costs.

Operating profit tumbled 38 per cent to €437mn in the first quarter as the company was hit by the economic fallout from China’s strict Covid policies. Australia’s biggest investment bank Macquarie Group profited from volatility on global commodity markets and record dealmaking, driving full-year net profit up 56 per cent from the previous year to a record high of A$4.7bn ($3.3bn).

British Airways has been forced to cut flight schedules further as it struggles to hire staff quickly enough to meet renewed demand for travel after culling nearly 10,000 jobs during the pandemic, raising concerns that the carrier could miss out on a bumper summer for European airlines. France has warmly welcomed Binance’s bid to put down roots in one of Europe’s top financial centres, drawing a deep divide with watchdogs in the UK that rejected the crypto giant.

Binance this week received a nod from French financial regulators, a move that clears the way for the crypto exchange to establish a significant presence in the G7 nation that could also help the company unlock access to other jurisdictions across Europe. Boeing will move its headquarters to the Washington, DC area from Chicago, bringing the company closer to federal lawmakers and rival defence contractors.

The move comes during a tumultuous period for the company, which has been subject to greater regulatory scrutiny following two fatal crashes of its 737 Max jet in 2018 and 2019 as well as the discovery of flaws in its 787 Dreamliner. Science round-up The true total global pandemic death toll was about 15mn by the end of 2021, based on an analysis of excess mortality, said the World Health Organization.

Source: Federal Reserve is raising interest rates even as the global economy struggles – The Washington Post

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The Inflation Suspense Goes On

Today’s consumer price report came as a huge surprise to almost everyone — because the numbers came in almost exactly in line with expectations, which basically never happens. Analysts whose job is to forecast what official numbers will say a few hours before they come out — a job of dubious usefulness, but whatever — expected the one-year rate of inflation to come in at 6.8 percent; it came in at … 6.8 percent. “Core” inflation that strips out volatile food and energy prices came in right on expectations too.

If there was any information content in today’s release, it was that extreme scenarios in both directions became a bit less likely. There wasn’t anything in the report suggesting that inflation is rapidly spiraling upward; nor was there anything lending comfort to those hoping to see inflation fade away in the next few months.

For what it’s worth, financial markets appear to have taken onboard the reduction in risks of really high inflation: “breakeven rates,” which measure market expectations of the inflation rate over the next few years, came down modestly. But nothing major happened.

That said, the headline number is highly likely to come down over the next few months, if only because the big run-up of oil prices from their pandemic lows seems to have gone into reverse:

Image

Oil wells that end well?
Credit…Bloomberg

Some other components may also be coming down — or will at least stop rising rapidly. Hyun Song Shin, head of research for the influential Bank for International Settlements, recently made the case that a lot of recent inflation reflects the “bullwhip effect”: panic or at least precautionary buying of goods that seem to be in short supply, which intensifies the shortage. Remember last year’s toilet paper shortage?

Shin points out, among other things, that shipping costs, while still very high, seem to have peaked:

Image

Containers contained?
Credit…Bank for International Settlements

But even if you try to adjust for special circumstances, underlying inflation appears to be running high by recent standards, maybe around 4 percent instead of the 2 percent that is the Fed’s target and has been the norm since the mid-1990s. This in turn reflects an economy in which spending is more or less back to the prepandemic trend but production is constrained both by bottlenecks and by the withdrawal of several million Americans from the labor force.

As an aside, 4 percent inflation isn’t hyperinflation; it isn’t even the double-digit inflation of the 1970s. In fact, whether they know it or not, Americans of a certain age can attest that it’s not so bad. It was, after all, the inflation rate that prevailed for much of the Reagan years — you know, after morning in America:

Image

Those horrible 1980s.Credit…FRED

I, at least, don’t remember the late 1980s as hellish.

Still, the Fed would consider a sustained doubling of the inflation rate a blow to its credibility. So how long will elevated inflation last?

The secret answer (don’t tell anyone) is that we don’t know.

I still think the most likely scenario is a minor-league version of the 1946-48 inflation spike, when pent-up demand after the end of wartime rationing caused an inflationary boom — inflation peaked at around 20 percent — but price stability quickly and more or less painlessly re-emerged once the spending surge was over.

I still don’t see any evidence that 1970s-type stagflation, in which everyone kept raising prices because they expected everyone else to keep raising prices, is emerging.

But today’s numbers neither reinforced nor challenged my beliefs. This report was shockingly unsurprising.

Image

By:

Paul Krugman has been an Opinion columnist since 2000 and is also a Distinguished Professor at the City University of New York Graduate Center. He won the 2008 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences for his work on international trade and economic geography. @PaulKrugman

Source: Opinion | The Inflation Suspense Goes On – The New York Times

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